Reform UK would win in Carlisle at the next election if an election was held today according to a ground-breaking new poll.
The party came third behind Labour and the Conservatives at last year’s election but would leapfrog both into first place according to a major MRP poll by Stonehaven for the I newspaper.
Across the country, Reform would pick up more than 120 seats according to the poll putting them as the third largest party in the commons behind the Tories on 157 and Labour on 278 – down by more than 130 seats since the election in 2024.
Reform UK, who are led by Brexit backing Nigel Farage, won five seats across the country in the recent general election and beat the Tories into second place in Whitehaven and Workington whilst pushing them close in Penrith and the Solway and Carlisle.
The Reform candidate in Penrith and the Solway, Matthew Moody has previously said that the party’s aim was to win ‘hundreds of seats’ at the next election.
““Reform’s aim is to be fully up and running for local elections all across the country no later than 2027,” said Mr Moody.
“At the moment 200 Reform branches are in process of being formed and we hope to have branches in all of the UK’s 650 constituencies by early next year.”
“It is crucial to move swiftly forming local branches because you never know when there will be a general election.
“Already we have a very unpopular new government with an even more unpopular leader.”
Other polls have suggested Labour would retain their seats in Cumbria but lose their overall majority in Parliament if an election were called.
Online polling analyst Election Maps UK has said that Labour would win 304 seats if an election was called today which is enough to be the largest party but not enough to have an overall majority.
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The party has had a difficult time in the polls since winning their historic election as they forced through some controversial legislation on cancelling winter fuel payments for pensioners and keeping the two-child benefit cap.
Labour has promised widespread reform to the housing market to boost economic growth and has already begun on its ‘manifesto for change’ by starting the process of renationalising the railways, getting rid of the hereditary peers in the House of Lords and introducing VAT onto private school fees to boost the number of teachers in state schools.